Fertility Patterns of Native and Migrant Muslims in Europe

Marcin Stonawski, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) and Cracow University of Economics
Michaela Potancokova, Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU)
Vegard Skirbekk, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

This paper presents (as part of a large global project on demography and religion) unique findings on fertility differentials between Muslims and non-Muslims in Europe, separating between native and immigrant European Muslim populations. For instance, in Romania, Bulgaria, Georgia and Ukraine the greater fertility of Muslims (who tends to be natives) ranges from 0 to 0.4 children per woman; and the Muslim populations have below replacement fertility (ranging from 1.4 to 1.9 children per woman). In Germany and Italy Muslims have 0.5 to 0.6 children more (with a TFR of 1.8 to 1.9 children) than non-Muslims; while in Norway, Austria, Finland, Ireland, the UK and the Netherlands, the fertility discrepancies are higher (from 1 to 1.3 children) and while non-Muslim fertility levels are below replacement, Muslim TFR is relatively high (ranging from 2.4 to 3.3 children).